Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight a transient warm ridge over central Europe as the main driver pushing Munich's August 8 maximum into the upper 20s Celsius, with 29°C and 30°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 89% implied probability. Clear skies and light easterly flow favor peak heating near midday, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow edge between these bins. Historical early-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly persisting after the 31°C reading on August 2. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 8?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 8?
29°C 45%
30°C 41%
31°C 15%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
45%
30°C
41%
31°C
15%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
30°C 41%
31°C 15%
28°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$23 Vol.
3%
28°C
$8 Vol.
6%
29°C
$220 Vol.
45%
30°C
$84 Vol.
41%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$86 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$5 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight a transient warm ridge over central Europe as the main driver pushing Munich's August 8 maximum into the upper 20s Celsius, with 29°C and 30°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 89% implied probability. Clear skies and light easterly flow favor peak heating near midday, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow edge between these bins. Historical early-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly persisting after the 31°C reading on August 2. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$450End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight a transient warm ridge over central Europe as the main driver pushing Munich's August 8 maximum into the upper 20s Celsius, with 29°C and 30°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 89% implied probability. Clear skies and light easterly flow favor peak heating near midday, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow edge between these bins. Historical early-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly persisting after the 31°C reading on August 2. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$450End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight a transient warm ridge over central Europe as the main driver pushing Munich's August 8 maximum into the upper 20s Celsius, with 29°C and 30°C outcomes dominating trader consensus at combined 89% implied probability. Clear skies and light easterly flow favor peak heating near midday, though minor differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow edge between these bins. Historical early-August climatology shows daily highs averaging 23–25°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly persisting after the 31°C reading on August 2. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria before market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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