**Seasonal above-normal temperatures driven by National Center for Meteorology forecasts position the 39°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51% implied probability.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location typically sees August daytime maxima near 36–38°C amid high humidity, but 2026 projections indicate 1–2.5°C anomalies across western Saudi regions including Makkah province, consistent with an extended regional heatwave. Short-range models currently cluster around 36–37°C for August 8, yet trader consensus reflects the elevated baseline and potential for brief intensification under clear skies and light winds. Resolution hinges on official Saudi meteorological observations; any late-model shift or coastal breeze could adjust probabilities before the August 8 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 8?
39°C or higher 51%
38°C 30%
37°C 12%
36°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
12%
38°C
30%
39°C or higher
51%
39°C or higher 51%
38°C 30%
37°C 12%
36°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
12%
38°C
30%
39°C or higher
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Seasonal above-normal temperatures driven by National Center for Meteorology forecasts position the 39°C-or-higher outcome as the market leader at 51% implied probability.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal location typically sees August daytime maxima near 36–38°C amid high humidity, but 2026 projections indicate 1–2.5°C anomalies across western Saudi regions including Makkah province, consistent with an extended regional heatwave. Short-range models currently cluster around 36–37°C for August 8, yet trader consensus reflects the elevated baseline and potential for brief intensification under clear skies and light winds. Resolution hinges on official Saudi meteorological observations; any late-model shift or coastal breeze could adjust probabilities before the August 8 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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