Recent numerical weather prediction models from European centers show Munich likely experiencing a post-heatwave cooldown, with consensus maximum temperatures clustering around 26–28°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This distribution reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty driven by evolving upper-level flow patterns and local boundary-layer conditions that can shift daily highs by 2–3°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (34.5%) to 27°C because ensemble spreads remain wide within this narrow window, while lower outcomes gain support if stronger Atlantic influence arrives earlier than currently projected. Official German Weather Service updates and next model cycles will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 7?
27°C 34%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
34%
28°C
23%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
28°C 23%
26°C 22%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
21°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$25 Vol.
1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
5%
25°C
$64 Vol.
8%
26°C
$107 Vol.
22%
27°C
$75 Vol.
34%
28°C
$47 Vol.
23%
29°C
$88 Vol.
10%
30°C
$160 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$40 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from European centers show Munich likely experiencing a post-heatwave cooldown, with consensus maximum temperatures clustering around 26–28°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This distribution reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty driven by evolving upper-level flow patterns and local boundary-layer conditions that can shift daily highs by 2–3°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (34.5%) to 27°C because ensemble spreads remain wide within this narrow window, while lower outcomes gain support if stronger Atlantic influence arrives earlier than currently projected. Official German Weather Service updates and next model cycles will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$681End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from European centers show Munich likely experiencing a post-heatwave cooldown, with consensus maximum temperatures clustering around 26–28°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This distribution reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty driven by evolving upper-level flow patterns and local boundary-layer conditions that can shift daily highs by 2–3°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (34.5%) to 27°C because ensemble spreads remain wide within this narrow window, while lower outcomes gain support if stronger Atlantic influence arrives earlier than currently projected. Official German Weather Service updates and next model cycles will likely refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$681End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from European centers show Munich likely experiencing a post-heatwave cooldown, with consensus maximum temperatures clustering around 26–28°C on August 7 amid variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This distribution reflects genuine short-range forecast uncertainty driven by evolving upper-level flow patterns and local boundary-layer conditions that can shift daily highs by 2–3°C. Traders assign the highest implied probability (34.5%) to 27°C because ensemble spreads remain wide within this narrow window, while lower outcomes gain support if stronger Atlantic influence arrives earlier than currently projected. Official German Weather Service updates and next model cycles will likely refine these odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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