Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 8 point to a daily high near 31°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, placing the market-implied probability for 32°C at the lead. Long-term climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, so this outcome reflects modest above-average warmth without an active heatwave or anomalous ridge. Model consensus supports limited day-to-day variability, though small forecast adjustments in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact maximum between 31–33°C and explain the secondary weighting on 33°C. No major data releases or pattern changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
32°C 56%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C
56%
33°C
34%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$709 Vol.
1%
30°C
$319 Vol.
1%
31°C
$673 Vol.
8%
32°C
$1,434 Vol.
56%
33°C
$627 Vol.
34%
34°C
$230 Vol.
5%
35°C
$475 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$579 Vol.
1%
37°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 8 point to a daily high near 31°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, placing the market-implied probability for 32°C at the lead. Long-term climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, so this outcome reflects modest above-average warmth without an active heatwave or anomalous ridge. Model consensus supports limited day-to-day variability, though small forecast adjustments in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact maximum between 31–33°C and explain the secondary weighting on 33°C. No major data releases or pattern changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$6,062End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 8 point to a daily high near 31°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, placing the market-implied probability for 32°C at the lead. Long-term climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, so this outcome reflects modest above-average warmth without an active heatwave or anomalous ridge. Model consensus supports limited day-to-day variability, though small forecast adjustments in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact maximum between 31–33°C and explain the secondary weighting on 33°C. No major data releases or pattern changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,062End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 8 point to a daily high near 31°C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover, placing the market-implied probability for 32°C at the lead. Long-term climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, so this outcome reflects modest above-average warmth without an active heatwave or anomalous ridge. Model consensus supports limited day-to-day variability, though small forecast adjustments in peak timing or local sea-breeze effects could shift the exact maximum between 31–33°C and explain the secondary weighting on 33°C. No major data releases or pattern changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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