**Forecast variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate drives the dispersed trader sentiment around 35–37°C for the August 9 daily high.** Early August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, yet recent model runs indicate potential for 35–36°C peaks with reduced cloud cover and light winds, consistent with observed trends in the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and possible convective showers introduce downside risk to lower outcomes, while any clearing could push readings toward 37–38°C. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and ensemble forecasts will clarify steering patterns and diurnal heating before resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical temperature predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 9?
36°C 33%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
17%
36°C
33%
37°C
27%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 33%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
34°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
30°C or below
$67 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$12 Vol.
4%
33°C
$108 Vol.
4%
34°C
$2 Vol.
11%
35°C
$0 Vol.
17%
36°C
$98 Vol.
33%
37°C
$1 Vol.
27%
38°C
$7 Vol.
10%
39°C
$122 Vol.
3%
40°C or higher
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate drives the dispersed trader sentiment around 35–37°C for the August 9 daily high.** Early August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, yet recent model runs indicate potential for 35–36°C peaks with reduced cloud cover and light winds, consistent with observed trends in the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and possible convective showers introduce downside risk to lower outcomes, while any clearing could push readings toward 37–38°C. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and ensemble forecasts will clarify steering patterns and diurnal heating before resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical temperature predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,467End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate drives the dispersed trader sentiment around 35–37°C for the August 9 daily high.** Early August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, yet recent model runs indicate potential for 35–36°C peaks with reduced cloud cover and light winds, consistent with observed trends in the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and possible convective showers introduce downside risk to lower outcomes, while any clearing could push readings toward 37–38°C. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and ensemble forecasts will clarify steering patterns and diurnal heating before resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical temperature predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,467End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast variability in Shenzhen's subtropical monsoon climate drives the dispersed trader sentiment around 35–37°C for the August 9 daily high.** Early August climatology shows typical maxima near 32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, yet recent model runs indicate potential for 35–36°C peaks with reduced cloud cover and light winds, consistent with observed trends in the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and possible convective showers introduce downside risk to lower outcomes, while any clearing could push readings toward 37–38°C. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and ensemble forecasts will clarify steering patterns and diurnal heating before resolution, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range tropical temperature predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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