Current forecasts for August 7 position Hong Kong under typical late-summer conditions with daytime maxima near 32–34°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 33–34°C as traders weigh model consensus. Key differentiators include variable shower timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing fuller diurnal heating over the urban heat island. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with this range, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or distant tropical moisture could shift the daily high lower. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
37%
35°C
13%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 35%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
29°C or below
$127 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$291 Vol.
1%
31°C
$378 Vol.
3%
32°C
$437 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,049 Vol.
35%
34°C
$728 Vol.
37%
35°C
$988 Vol.
13%
36°C
$503 Vol.
8%
37°C
$596 Vol.
2%
38°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,235 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts for August 7 position Hong Kong under typical late-summer conditions with daytime maxima near 32–34°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 33–34°C as traders weigh model consensus. Key differentiators include variable shower timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing fuller diurnal heating over the urban heat island. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with this range, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or distant tropical moisture could shift the daily high lower. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,570End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts for August 7 position Hong Kong under typical late-summer conditions with daytime maxima near 32–34°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 33–34°C as traders weigh model consensus. Key differentiators include variable shower timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing fuller diurnal heating over the urban heat island. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with this range, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or distant tropical moisture could shift the daily high lower. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,570End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for August 7 position Hong Kong under typical late-summer conditions with daytime maxima near 32–34°C, supporting the tight market clustering around 33–34°C as traders weigh model consensus. Key differentiators include variable shower timing and cloud cover that can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals allowing fuller diurnal heating over the urban heat island. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with this range, while any strengthening of the monsoon trough or distant tropical moisture could shift the daily high lower. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between these outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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