Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 9 likely near 33–34°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High promoting warm, humid air advection into the Sichuan Basin, combined with typical summer insolation. Frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms—common in the peak rainy season—introduce cooling through cloud cover, evaporative effects, and reduced solar heating, preventing extremes above 36°C while limiting drops below 32°C. Urban heat island amplification and basin topography that traps moisture further support this narrow range. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows minor variability tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market spread as traders weigh these dynamic factors against historical August averages of 30–34°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria around daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
35°C 29%
34°C 29%
33°C 18%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
18%
34°C
29%
35°C
29%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
8%
35°C 29%
34°C 29%
33°C 18%
36°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
3%
30°C
$25 Vol.
3%
31°C
$312 Vol.
2%
32°C
$56 Vol.
7%
33°C
$39 Vol.
18%
34°C
$263 Vol.
29%
35°C
$77 Vol.
29%
36°C
$108 Vol.
14%
37°C or higher
$2,504 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 9 likely near 33–34°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High promoting warm, humid air advection into the Sichuan Basin, combined with typical summer insolation. Frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms—common in the peak rainy season—introduce cooling through cloud cover, evaporative effects, and reduced solar heating, preventing extremes above 36°C while limiting drops below 32°C. Urban heat island amplification and basin topography that traps moisture further support this narrow range. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows minor variability tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market spread as traders weigh these dynamic factors against historical August averages of 30–34°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria around daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,622End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 9 likely near 33–34°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High promoting warm, humid air advection into the Sichuan Basin, combined with typical summer insolation. Frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms—common in the peak rainy season—introduce cooling through cloud cover, evaporative effects, and reduced solar heating, preventing extremes above 36°C while limiting drops below 32°C. Urban heat island amplification and basin topography that traps moisture further support this narrow range. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows minor variability tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market spread as traders weigh these dynamic factors against historical August averages of 30–34°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria around daily maximum observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,622End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on August 9 likely near 33–34°C, driven by the persistent influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High promoting warm, humid air advection into the Sichuan Basin, combined with typical summer insolation. Frequent scattered showers and thunderstorms—common in the peak rainy season—introduce cooling through cloud cover, evaporative effects, and reduced solar heating, preventing extremes above 36°C while limiting drops below 32°C. Urban heat island amplification and basin topography that traps moisture further support this narrow range. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration shows minor variability tied to exact precipitation timing and intensity, creating the tight market spread as traders weigh these dynamic factors against historical August averages of 30–34°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine resolution criteria around daily maximum observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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