Traders price the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most heavily around 32–34 °C because recent model consensus and the city’s early-August climatology place daily maxima in that narrow band. Sichuan Basin topography and persistent high humidity favor heat retention, while scattered monsoon showers can suppress peaks by a degree or two on any given day. With the leading outcomes separated by only about ten percentage points, small revisions in overnight guidance—such as changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or the precise timing of convective activity—could easily shift the realized maximum across the 32/33/34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued on 7 August remain the key near-term catalysts traders are watching.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
33°C 32%
34°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
22%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 32%
34°C 22%
32°C 22%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$580 Vol.
1%
30°C
$417 Vol.
4%
31°C
$341 Vol.
13%
32°C
$613 Vol.
22%
33°C
$2,169 Vol.
32%
34°C
$922 Vol.
22%
35°C
$509 Vol.
9%
36°C or higher
$1,286 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most heavily around 32–34 °C because recent model consensus and the city’s early-August climatology place daily maxima in that narrow band. Sichuan Basin topography and persistent high humidity favor heat retention, while scattered monsoon showers can suppress peaks by a degree or two on any given day. With the leading outcomes separated by only about ten percentage points, small revisions in overnight guidance—such as changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or the precise timing of convective activity—could easily shift the realized maximum across the 32/33/34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued on 7 August remain the key near-term catalysts traders are watching.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,061End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most heavily around 32–34 °C because recent model consensus and the city’s early-August climatology place daily maxima in that narrow band. Sichuan Basin topography and persistent high humidity favor heat retention, while scattered monsoon showers can suppress peaks by a degree or two on any given day. With the leading outcomes separated by only about ten percentage points, small revisions in overnight guidance—such as changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or the precise timing of convective activity—could easily shift the realized maximum across the 32/33/34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued on 7 August remain the key near-term catalysts traders are watching.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,061End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most heavily around 32–34 °C because recent model consensus and the city’s early-August climatology place daily maxima in that narrow band. Sichuan Basin topography and persistent high humidity favor heat retention, while scattered monsoon showers can suppress peaks by a degree or two on any given day. With the leading outcomes separated by only about ten percentage points, small revisions in overnight guidance—such as changes in cloud cover, wind speed, or the precise timing of convective activity—could easily shift the realized maximum across the 32/33/34 °C thresholds. Official China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ensemble runs issued on 7 August remain the key near-term catalysts traders are watching.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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