**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 8 centers on the narrow 33–34°C band (combined ~70% implied probability), reflecting typical wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima.** Panama City’s tropical monsoon climate in August features high humidity, frequent cloud build-up, and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping average highs near 30–32°C. Recent model guidance and short-term observations point to isolated storms and overcast periods on the 8th, supporting the market’s tight clustering while leaving room for modest upward spikes if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity, steering winds, and boundary-layer moisture—all of which introduce enough forecast variability to explain why neither 33°C nor 34°C commands a decisive edge and why probabilities drop sharply outside this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 8?
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
14%
33°C
34%
34°C
36%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$139 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2 Vol.
3%
31°C
$113 Vol.
3%
32°C
$400 Vol.
14%
33°C
$453 Vol.
34%
34°C
$194 Vol.
36%
35°C
$424 Vol.
11%
36°C
$88 Vol.
3%
37°C
$90 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$133 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 8 centers on the narrow 33–34°C band (combined ~70% implied probability), reflecting typical wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima.**
Panama City’s tropical monsoon climate in August features high humidity, frequent cloud build-up, and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping average highs near 30–32°C. Recent model guidance and short-term observations point to isolated storms and overcast periods on the 8th, supporting the market’s tight clustering while leaving room for modest upward spikes if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity, steering winds, and boundary-layer moisture—all of which introduce enough forecast variability to explain why neither 33°C nor 34°C commands a decisive edge and why probabilities drop sharply outside this range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,131End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 8 centers on the narrow 33–34°C band (combined ~70% implied probability), reflecting typical wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima.**
Panama City’s tropical monsoon climate in August features high humidity, frequent cloud build-up, and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping average highs near 30–32°C. Recent model guidance and short-term observations point to isolated storms and overcast periods on the 8th, supporting the market’s tight clustering while leaving room for modest upward spikes if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity, steering winds, and boundary-layer moisture—all of which introduce enough forecast variability to explain why neither 33°C nor 34°C commands a decisive edge and why probabilities drop sharply outside this range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,131End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Panama City on August 8 centers on the narrow 33–34°C band (combined ~70% implied probability), reflecting typical wet-season conditions where afternoon convection often caps daytime maxima.** Panama City’s tropical monsoon climate in August features high humidity, frequent cloud build-up, and scattered thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping average highs near 30–32°C. Recent model guidance and short-term observations point to isolated storms and overcast periods on the 8th, supporting the market’s tight clustering while leaving room for modest upward spikes if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing and coverage of convective activity, steering winds, and boundary-layer moisture—all of which introduce enough forecast variability to explain why neither 33°C nor 34°C commands a decisive edge and why probabilities drop sharply outside this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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