Recent forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office and other centers points to a peak temperature in London on August 7 near the 25–26°C range, driven by a building ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light southerly winds advecting milder air. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical August averages near 23°C provide context for the modest warming signal. Official resolution will hinge on the Met Office’s verified maximum at London Heathrow, with any late adjustments from updated model runs or observational data likely to shift probabilities before the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
38%
26°C
35%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 35%
24°C 15%
27°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$200 Vol.
3%
23°C
$102 Vol.
3%
24°C
$40 Vol.
15%
25°C
$378 Vol.
38%
26°C
$280 Vol.
35%
27°C
$221 Vol.
12%
28°C
$72 Vol.
4%
29°C
$84 Vol.
1%
30°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office and other centers points to a peak temperature in London on August 7 near the 25–26°C range, driven by a building ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light southerly winds advecting milder air. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical August averages near 23°C provide context for the modest warming signal. Official resolution will hinge on the Met Office’s verified maximum at London Heathrow, with any late adjustments from updated model runs or observational data likely to shift probabilities before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,627End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office and other centers points to a peak temperature in London on August 7 near the 25–26°C range, driven by a building ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light southerly winds advecting milder air. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical August averages near 23°C provide context for the modest warming signal. Official resolution will hinge on the Met Office’s verified maximum at London Heathrow, with any late adjustments from updated model runs or observational data likely to shift probabilities before the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,627End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from the UK Met Office and other centers points to a peak temperature in London on August 7 near the 25–26°C range, driven by a building ridge of high pressure promoting mostly clear skies and light southerly winds advecting milder air. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight market split between these two outcomes, while historical August averages near 23°C provide context for the modest warming signal. Official resolution will hinge on the Met Office’s verified maximum at London Heathrow, with any late adjustments from updated model runs or observational data likely to shift probabilities before the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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