**Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Lucknow on August 9, 2026, with 32°C and 34°C close behind, reflecting typical peak-monsoon conditions moderated by cloud cover and scattered showers.** In August, Lucknow lies under the influence of the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloudiness, high humidity, and rainfall episodes reduce incoming solar radiation and cap daytime heating. Recent short-range forecasts from sources such as NDTV and local monitoring consistently project highs of 32–33 °C for August 8–9, with partly cloudy skies and light-rain chances that align with observed early-August readings (31–35 °C range, trending lower amid active monsoon flow). IMD extended-range guidance for the 6–12 August window indicates near-normal to slightly below-normal maximum temperatures across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with ongoing monsoon rainfall suppressing heat buildup. The narrow clustering around 32–34 °C (over 88 % combined implied probability) therefore mirrors model consensus that monsoon dynamics will prevent both strong clear-sky heating and any late-season heatwave breakthrough, while the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C+ or sub-31 °C outcomes reflect the limited likelihood of significant forecast deviations in the final 48-hour window. Updated model runs or IMD briefings on August 8 will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 9?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 9?
33°C 44%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
44%
34°C
22%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 44%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$44 Vol.
2%
31°C
$3 Vol.
9%
32°C
$32 Vol.
22%
33°C
$170 Vol.
44%
34°C
$16 Vol.
22%
35°C
$61 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$8 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Lucknow on August 9, 2026, with 32°C and 34°C close behind, reflecting typical peak-monsoon conditions moderated by cloud cover and scattered showers.**
In August, Lucknow lies under the influence of the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloudiness, high humidity, and rainfall episodes reduce incoming solar radiation and cap daytime heating. Recent short-range forecasts from sources such as NDTV and local monitoring consistently project highs of 32–33 °C for August 8–9, with partly cloudy skies and light-rain chances that align with observed early-August readings (31–35 °C range, trending lower amid active monsoon flow). IMD extended-range guidance for the 6–12 August window indicates near-normal to slightly below-normal maximum temperatures across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with ongoing monsoon rainfall suppressing heat buildup.
The narrow clustering around 32–34 °C (over 88 % combined implied probability) therefore mirrors model consensus that monsoon dynamics will prevent both strong clear-sky heating and any late-season heatwave breakthrough, while the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C+ or sub-31 °C outcomes reflect the limited likelihood of significant forecast deviations in the final 48-hour window. Updated model runs or IMD briefings on August 8 will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Lucknow on August 9, 2026, with 32°C and 34°C close behind, reflecting typical peak-monsoon conditions moderated by cloud cover and scattered showers.**
In August, Lucknow lies under the influence of the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloudiness, high humidity, and rainfall episodes reduce incoming solar radiation and cap daytime heating. Recent short-range forecasts from sources such as NDTV and local monitoring consistently project highs of 32–33 °C for August 8–9, with partly cloudy skies and light-rain chances that align with observed early-August readings (31–35 °C range, trending lower amid active monsoon flow). IMD extended-range guidance for the 6–12 August window indicates near-normal to slightly below-normal maximum temperatures across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with ongoing monsoon rainfall suppressing heat buildup.
The narrow clustering around 32–34 °C (over 88 % combined implied probability) therefore mirrors model consensus that monsoon dynamics will prevent both strong clear-sky heating and any late-season heatwave breakthrough, while the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C+ or sub-31 °C outcomes reflect the limited likelihood of significant forecast deviations in the final 48-hour window. Updated model runs or IMD briefings on August 8 will provide the next key data point for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 33°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Lucknow on August 9, 2026, with 32°C and 34°C close behind, reflecting typical peak-monsoon conditions moderated by cloud cover and scattered showers.** In August, Lucknow lies under the influence of the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloudiness, high humidity, and rainfall episodes reduce incoming solar radiation and cap daytime heating. Recent short-range forecasts from sources such as NDTV and local monitoring consistently project highs of 32–33 °C for August 8–9, with partly cloudy skies and light-rain chances that align with observed early-August readings (31–35 °C range, trending lower amid active monsoon flow). IMD extended-range guidance for the 6–12 August window indicates near-normal to slightly below-normal maximum temperatures across Uttar Pradesh, consistent with ongoing monsoon rainfall suppressing heat buildup. The narrow clustering around 32–34 °C (over 88 % combined implied probability) therefore mirrors model consensus that monsoon dynamics will prevent both strong clear-sky heating and any late-season heatwave breakthrough, while the low probabilities assigned to 35 °C+ or sub-31 °C outcomes reflect the limited likelihood of significant forecast deviations in the final 48-hour window. Updated model runs or IMD briefings on August 8 will provide the next key data point for traders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions