Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international models indicate a high of approximately 20–21°C for Helsinki on August 8, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds under stable late-summer atmospheric patterns. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C and 21°C, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range typical of Baltic Sea-moderated coastal climates in early August. Historical averages show daily highs declining from 21–22°C early in the month toward 19°C by late August, providing additional context for why deviations above 23°C or below 19°C carry low odds. No major synoptic systems or heat advection are currently projected to shift temperatures outside this band before resolution, though minor model updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 8?
21°C 46%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
46%
22°C
23%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 46%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
46%
22°C
23%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international models indicate a high of approximately 20–21°C for Helsinki on August 8, with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds under stable late-summer atmospheric patterns. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 20°C and 21°C, which together exceed 70% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on the narrow range typical of Baltic Sea-moderated coastal climates in early August. Historical averages show daily highs declining from 21–22°C early in the month toward 19°C by late August, providing additional context for why deviations above 23°C or below 19°C carry low odds. No major synoptic systems or heat advection are currently projected to shift temperatures outside this band before resolution, though minor model updates in the next 48 hours could refine the exact peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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