Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 8?
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C or higher 8%
NEW
$10,557 Vol.
NEW
$10,557 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
39%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
8%
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C or higher 8%
NEW
$10,557 Vol.
NEW
$10,557 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$464 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,469 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$600 Vol.
1%
30°C
$564 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,592 Vol.
5%
32°C
$961 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,154 Vol.
39%
34°C
$1,123 Vol.
29%
35°C or higher
$672 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,557End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,557End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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