Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather place Karachi's maximum temperature on August 8 near 31–34°C amid active monsoon conditions that increase cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, moderating daytime heating relative to drier periods. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 31–33°C and recent below-normal temperature anomalies across Sindh. Model consensus shows limited scope for extremes, with 35°C or higher carrying low odds due to expected moisture influx, while traders weigh any last-minute forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
33°C 52%
34°C 34%
32°C 11%
35°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
52%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
34°C 34%
32°C 11%
35°C 3%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
52%
34°C
34%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather place Karachi's maximum temperature on August 8 near 31–34°C amid active monsoon conditions that increase cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, moderating daytime heating relative to drier periods. These factors position 33°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C, consistent with climatological August averages of 31–33°C and recent below-normal temperature anomalies across Sindh. Model consensus shows limited scope for extremes, with 35°C or higher carrying low odds due to expected moisture influx, while traders weigh any last-minute forecast revisions ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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