**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 8, 2026, centers on 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses.** These conditions favor daytime heating with light winds under 15 km/h and minimal cloud cover after any morning stratus dissipates, pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. Historical August climatology for Paris (typical highs 24–29°C) provides context, but current model consensus exceeds the mean due to the lingering influence of a broader European summer pattern with reduced Atlantic moisture transport. Recent data shifts, including the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs through August 5–6, have tightened the distribution around 30°C (45% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), while lowering odds for 32°C or higher as any potential shortwave trough remains suppressed. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris; traders are monitoring the next forecast update for refinements in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$34 Vol.
1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
1%
28°C
$89 Vol.
4%
29°C
$82 Vol.
13%
30°C
$562 Vol.
45%
31°C
$142 Vol.
32%
32°C
$104 Vol.
9%
33°C
$40 Vol.
4%
34°C
$57 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 8, 2026, centers on 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses.**
These conditions favor daytime heating with light winds under 15 km/h and minimal cloud cover after any morning stratus dissipates, pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. Historical August climatology for Paris (typical highs 24–29°C) provides context, but current model consensus exceeds the mean due to the lingering influence of a broader European summer pattern with reduced Atlantic moisture transport.
Recent data shifts, including the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs through August 5–6, have tightened the distribution around 30°C (45% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), while lowering odds for 32°C or higher as any potential shortwave trough remains suppressed. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris; traders are monitoring the next forecast update for refinements in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,306End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 8, 2026, centers on 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses.**
These conditions favor daytime heating with light winds under 15 km/h and minimal cloud cover after any morning stratus dissipates, pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. Historical August climatology for Paris (typical highs 24–29°C) provides context, but current model consensus exceeds the mean due to the lingering influence of a broader European summer pattern with reduced Atlantic moisture transport.
Recent data shifts, including the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs through August 5–6, have tightened the distribution around 30°C (45% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), while lowering odds for 32°C or higher as any potential shortwave trough remains suppressed. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris; traders are monitoring the next forecast update for refinements in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,306End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 8, 2026, centers on 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes, driven by Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer air masses.** These conditions favor daytime heating with light winds under 15 km/h and minimal cloud cover after any morning stratus dissipates, pushing maxima into the low 30s Celsius. Historical August climatology for Paris (typical highs 24–29°C) provides context, but current model consensus exceeds the mean due to the lingering influence of a broader European summer pattern with reduced Atlantic moisture transport. Recent data shifts, including the latest 00Z and 12Z model runs through August 5–6, have tightened the distribution around 30°C (45% implied probability) and 31°C (31.5%), while lowering odds for 32°C or higher as any potential shortwave trough remains suppressed. Resolution hinges on official Météo-France observations at Paris-Montsouris; traders are monitoring the next forecast update for refinements in boundary-layer mixing and surface energy balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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