Recent forecasts from European models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a moderating high-pressure system over northern France that should limit afternoon highs in Paris to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the latest ensemble runs that have narrowed the temperature distribution after earlier variability in steering patterns. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 7?
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
44%
28°C
26%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 26%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
$374 Vol.
1%
24°C
$60 Vol.
1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
5%
26°C
$50 Vol.
19%
27°C
$505 Vol.
44%
28°C
$170 Vol.
26%
29°C
$85 Vol.
5%
30°C
$31 Vol.
2%
31°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a moderating high-pressure system over northern France that should limit afternoon highs in Paris to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the latest ensemble runs that have narrowed the temperature distribution after earlier variability in steering patterns. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,561End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a moderating high-pressure system over northern France that should limit afternoon highs in Paris to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the latest ensemble runs that have narrowed the temperature distribution after earlier variability in steering patterns. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,561End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models, including those aligned with Météo-France guidance, indicate a moderating high-pressure system over northern France that should limit afternoon highs in Paris to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius on August 7, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring radiative heating. This consensus underpins the market's concentration on 27°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the latest ensemble runs that have narrowed the temperature distribution after earlier variability in steering patterns. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, while any late-model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the ridge could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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