Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 7?
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 39%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
$198 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$24 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$35 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$130 Vol.
11%
88-89°F
$276 Vol.
25%
90-91°F
$830 Vol.
39%
92-93°F
$211 Vol.
20%
94-95°F
$39 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$44 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$23 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,850End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,850End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and private models point to a high near 90–93°F for New York City on August 7 under partly sunny conditions and a warmer-than-average August pattern driven by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook. This aligns with trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 88–89°F and 92–93°F, as models show limited additional heating from typical summer southerly flow and urban heat island effects in Manhattan. Historical August averages near 83°F at Central Park underscore the current elevated baseline, while cloud cover or convective development could cap peaks below 92°F. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours remain key variables for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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