**Current forecasts position 33–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds led by 34°C at 49.5%.** August represents the climatological peak for the region under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and light westerly winds. Long-term averages place the typical daily maximum near 31–32°C, with coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity providing modest moderation. Short-range model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows no significant heatwave or anomalous warming through the period, keeping projected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent observational trends and updated runs confirm steady conditions without rapid intensification or cooling fronts expected before resolution, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values. Updated model guidance and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns remain the primary variables that could adjust the final observed high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 50%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
17%
34°C
50%
35°C
27%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 27%
33°C 17%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$38 Vol.
2%
32°C
$95 Vol.
3%
33°C
$212 Vol.
17%
34°C
$174 Vol.
50%
35°C
$187 Vol.
27%
36°C
$37 Vol.
5%
37°C
$30 Vol.
3%
38°C
$10 Vol.
3%
39°C
$10 Vol.
2%
40°C
$210 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 33–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds led by 34°C at 49.5%.**
August represents the climatological peak for the region under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and light westerly winds. Long-term averages place the typical daily maximum near 31–32°C, with coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity providing modest moderation. Short-range model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows no significant heatwave or anomalous warming through the period, keeping projected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s.
Recent observational trends and updated runs confirm steady conditions without rapid intensification or cooling fronts expected before resolution, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values. Updated model guidance and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns remain the primary variables that could adjust the final observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,427End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts position 33–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds led by 34°C at 49.5%.**
August represents the climatological peak for the region under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and light westerly winds. Long-term averages place the typical daily maximum near 31–32°C, with coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity providing modest moderation. Short-range model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows no significant heatwave or anomalous warming through the period, keeping projected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s.
Recent observational trends and updated runs confirm steady conditions without rapid intensification or cooling fronts expected before resolution, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values. Updated model guidance and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns remain the primary variables that could adjust the final observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,427End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts position 33–35°C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s highest temperature on August 10, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds led by 34°C at 49.5%.** August represents the climatological peak for the region under a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies, strong solar heating, and light westerly winds. Long-term averages place the typical daily maximum near 31–32°C, with coastal sea breezes and Mediterranean humidity providing modest moderation. Short-range model consensus from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles shows no significant heatwave or anomalous warming through the period, keeping projected maxima in the low-to-mid 30s. Recent observational trends and updated runs confirm steady conditions without rapid intensification or cooling fronts expected before resolution, supporting the tight clustering of trader probabilities around these values. Updated model guidance and any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns remain the primary variables that could adjust the final observed high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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