Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency positions a 24°C minimum as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus around that threshold amid persistent Pacific High pressure delivering above-normal warmth. Seasonal outlooks indicate elevated temperatures across Honshu through early August, consistent with historical August lows averaging near 24°C and recent daily projections showing 24°C overnight under mostly cloudy conditions. Shifts in steering patterns or localized cloud cover could nudge readings to 23–25°C, while stronger subsidence would limit cooler anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables for traders assessing resolution against Haneda station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
24°C 59%
25°C 28%
26°C 10%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
59%
25°C
28%
26°C
10%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 59%
25°C 28%
26°C 10%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
18°C or below
$178 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$132 Vol.
2%
23°C
$104 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,990 Vol.
59%
25°C
$615 Vol.
28%
26°C
$172 Vol.
10%
27°C
$181 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$140 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency positions a 24°C minimum as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus around that threshold amid persistent Pacific High pressure delivering above-normal warmth. Seasonal outlooks indicate elevated temperatures across Honshu through early August, consistent with historical August lows averaging near 24°C and recent daily projections showing 24°C overnight under mostly cloudy conditions. Shifts in steering patterns or localized cloud cover could nudge readings to 23–25°C, while stronger subsidence would limit cooler anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables for traders assessing resolution against Haneda station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,011End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency positions a 24°C minimum as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus around that threshold amid persistent Pacific High pressure delivering above-normal warmth. Seasonal outlooks indicate elevated temperatures across Honshu through early August, consistent with historical August lows averaging near 24°C and recent daily projections showing 24°C overnight under mostly cloudy conditions. Shifts in steering patterns or localized cloud cover could nudge readings to 23–25°C, while stronger subsidence would limit cooler anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables for traders assessing resolution against Haneda station observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,011End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency positions a 24°C minimum as the leading outcome for Tokyo on August 10, with implied probabilities reflecting model consensus around that threshold amid persistent Pacific High pressure delivering above-normal warmth. Seasonal outlooks indicate elevated temperatures across Honshu through early August, consistent with historical August lows averaging near 24°C and recent daily projections showing 24°C overnight under mostly cloudy conditions. Shifts in steering patterns or localized cloud cover could nudge readings to 23–25°C, while stronger subsidence would limit cooler anomalies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables for traders assessing resolution against Haneda station observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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