Wellington's highest temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the narrow 14–15°C range, where market-implied odds sit nearly even at 50.5% and 45%, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming trend amid lingering winter conditions. Recent days have featured highs near 12°C under southerly flows and patchy rain, consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for the Wellington region. Short-range guidance indicates a front clearing with breaks of sun and lighter winds on the 9th, potentially allowing afternoon peaks to reach 14°C or edge to 15°C depending on exact cloud cover and northerly advection. Historical August maxima average around 13–14°C, with variability driven by rapid pressure changes in this maritime setting; updated MetService or NHC-equivalent runs could tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C 51%
15°C 45%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
NEW
$13,611 Vol.
NEW
$13,611 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
51%
15°C
45%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
15°C 45%
13°C 5%
12°C 2%
NEW
$13,611 Vol.
NEW
$13,611 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
$328 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$657 Vol.
2%
13°C
$2,979 Vol.
5%
14°C
$2,028 Vol.
51%
15°C
$4,634 Vol.
45%
16°C
$533 Vol.
2%
17°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's highest temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the narrow 14–15°C range, where market-implied odds sit nearly even at 50.5% and 45%, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming trend amid lingering winter conditions. Recent days have featured highs near 12°C under southerly flows and patchy rain, consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for the Wellington region. Short-range guidance indicates a front clearing with breaks of sun and lighter winds on the 9th, potentially allowing afternoon peaks to reach 14°C or edge to 15°C depending on exact cloud cover and northerly advection. Historical August maxima average around 13–14°C, with variability driven by rapid pressure changes in this maritime setting; updated MetService or NHC-equivalent runs could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$13,611End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's highest temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the narrow 14–15°C range, where market-implied odds sit nearly even at 50.5% and 45%, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming trend amid lingering winter conditions. Recent days have featured highs near 12°C under southerly flows and patchy rain, consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for the Wellington region. Short-range guidance indicates a front clearing with breaks of sun and lighter winds on the 9th, potentially allowing afternoon peaks to reach 14°C or edge to 15°C depending on exact cloud cover and northerly advection. Historical August maxima average around 13–14°C, with variability driven by rapid pressure changes in this maritime setting; updated MetService or NHC-equivalent runs could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,611End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's highest temperature on August 9 will likely fall in the narrow 14–15°C range, where market-implied odds sit nearly even at 50.5% and 45%, reflecting model consensus on a modest warming trend amid lingering winter conditions. Recent days have featured highs near 12°C under southerly flows and patchy rain, consistent with NIWA's near-average seasonal outlook for the Wellington region. Short-range guidance indicates a front clearing with breaks of sun and lighter winds on the 9th, potentially allowing afternoon peaks to reach 14°C or edge to 15°C depending on exact cloud cover and northerly advection. Historical August maxima average around 13–14°C, with variability driven by rapid pressure changes in this maritime setting; updated MetService or NHC-equivalent runs could tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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