Drier southwest monsoon conditions prevailing over Singapore have elevated expectations for peak afternoon temperatures on August 7, with the National Environment Agency forecasting daily maxima of 33–34 °C amid fair, occasionally windy weather and reduced cloud cover. This setup enhances solar insolation while limiting evaporative cooling from rainfall, pushing values above the long-term August average near 31 °C. Official subseasonal outlooks note below-normal rainfall for early August, though localized showers could still moderate highs on any given day. The tight market split between 32 °C and 33 °C reflects uncertainty in exact model consensus and short-term steering patterns, with lower odds on 34 °C or higher underscoring the narrow margin for stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated NEA and Meteorological Service Singapore guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 7?
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 42%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
44%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier southwest monsoon conditions prevailing over Singapore have elevated expectations for peak afternoon temperatures on August 7, with the National Environment Agency forecasting daily maxima of 33–34 °C amid fair, occasionally windy weather and reduced cloud cover. This setup enhances solar insolation while limiting evaporative cooling from rainfall, pushing values above the long-term August average near 31 °C. Official subseasonal outlooks note below-normal rainfall for early August, though localized showers could still moderate highs on any given day. The tight market split between 32 °C and 33 °C reflects uncertainty in exact model consensus and short-term steering patterns, with lower odds on 34 °C or higher underscoring the narrow margin for stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated NEA and Meteorological Service Singapore guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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