Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 9 are expected to reach the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal warmth through October under ongoing climate trends. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts highlight cloudy skies with highs potentially climbing to 36–37°C, supported by high humidity and limited cooling from monsoon influences, though any approaching tropical systems could alter steering patterns or bring brief relief. These factors underpin trader emphasis on 35°C and 36°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines near 31–32°C alongside upward pressure from long-term warming. Updated HKO briefings and numerical weather prediction runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 43%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NEW
$16,172 Vol.
NEW
$16,172 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
43%
36°C
28%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
NEW
$16,172 Vol.
NEW
$16,172 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,198 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,438 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,406 Vol.
13%
35°C
$2,319 Vol.
43%
36°C
$2,016 Vol.
28%
37°C
$1,610 Vol.
14%
38°C
$1,901 Vol.
4%
39°C
$453 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$415 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 9 are expected to reach the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal warmth through October under ongoing climate trends. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts highlight cloudy skies with highs potentially climbing to 36–37°C, supported by high humidity and limited cooling from monsoon influences, though any approaching tropical systems could alter steering patterns or bring brief relief. These factors underpin trader emphasis on 35°C and 36°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines near 31–32°C alongside upward pressure from long-term warming. Updated HKO briefings and numerical weather prediction runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$16,172End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 9 are expected to reach the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal warmth through October under ongoing climate trends. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts highlight cloudy skies with highs potentially climbing to 36–37°C, supported by high humidity and limited cooling from monsoon influences, though any approaching tropical systems could alter steering patterns or bring brief relief. These factors underpin trader emphasis on 35°C and 36°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines near 31–32°C alongside upward pressure from long-term warming. Updated HKO briefings and numerical weather prediction runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,172End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's peak temperatures on August 9 are expected to reach the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with official seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal warmth through October under ongoing climate trends. Recent model guidance and short-range forecasts highlight cloudy skies with highs potentially climbing to 36–37°C, supported by high humidity and limited cooling from monsoon influences, though any approaching tropical systems could alter steering patterns or bring brief relief. These factors underpin trader emphasis on 35°C and 36°C outcomes, reflecting historical August baselines near 31–32°C alongside upward pressure from long-term warming. Updated HKO briefings and numerical weather prediction runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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