Current forecast models point to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 10 as the most likely outcomes, consistent with typical early-August subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling, and frequent cloud cover or showers. Recent monitoring shows persistent warmth with daytime highs near 34–35°C and overnight lows holding above seasonal averages, supported by ongoing monsoon influences and regional pressure patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. Updated numerical weather predictions from major agencies highlight modest variability tied to rain timing and wind shifts, keeping 27°C as the market leader while allowing for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 10?
27°C 41%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
26%
27°C
41%
28°C
19%
29°C
6%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$481 Vol.
2%
23°C
$468 Vol.
3%
24°C
$353 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$43 Vol.
26%
27°C
$701 Vol.
41%
28°C
$37 Vol.
19%
29°C
$19 Vol.
6%
30°C
$27 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 10 as the most likely outcomes, consistent with typical early-August subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling, and frequent cloud cover or showers. Recent monitoring shows persistent warmth with daytime highs near 34–35°C and overnight lows holding above seasonal averages, supported by ongoing monsoon influences and regional pressure patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. Updated numerical weather predictions from major agencies highlight modest variability tied to rain timing and wind shifts, keeping 27°C as the market leader while allowing for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,167End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 10 as the most likely outcomes, consistent with typical early-August subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling, and frequent cloud cover or showers. Recent monitoring shows persistent warmth with daytime highs near 34–35°C and overnight lows holding above seasonal averages, supported by ongoing monsoon influences and regional pressure patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. Updated numerical weather predictions from major agencies highlight modest variability tied to rain timing and wind shifts, keeping 27°C as the market leader while allowing for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,167End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models point to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C in Shanghai on August 10 as the most likely outcomes, consistent with typical early-August subtropical conditions featuring high humidity, limited nocturnal radiative cooling, and frequent cloud cover or showers. Recent monitoring shows persistent warmth with daytime highs near 34–35°C and overnight lows holding above seasonal averages, supported by ongoing monsoon influences and regional pressure patterns that suppress sharp temperature drops. Updated numerical weather predictions from major agencies highlight modest variability tied to rain timing and wind shifts, keeping 27°C as the market leader while allowing for slight downward revisions if clearer skies develop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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