Hong Kong Observatory guidance and short-range model consensus point to an overnight low near 28–29°C for August 10, with daytime ranges of 28–32°C or 29–36°C under mostly cloudy skies and limited shower activity. Persistent high humidity and weak west-to-northwest winds are reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring temperatures in the upper 20s and explaining the near-even market split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (38.5%) buckets. Recent observations, including a 26°C minimum on August 6, show no incoming typhoon outflows or northerly surges that would drive sharper drops, while seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal warmth overall. Any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution could still separate the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
29°C 52%
30°C 15%
28°C 12%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
57%
30°C
32%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 52%
30°C 15%
28°C 12%
27°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$238 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$193 Vol.
1%
26°C
$365 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,211 Vol.
6%
28°C
$365 Vol.
12%
29°C
$1,180 Vol.
57%
30°C
$844 Vol.
32%
31°C
$1,840 Vol.
5%
32°C
$218 Vol.
1%
33°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance and short-range model consensus point to an overnight low near 28–29°C for August 10, with daytime ranges of 28–32°C or 29–36°C under mostly cloudy skies and limited shower activity. Persistent high humidity and weak west-to-northwest winds are reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring temperatures in the upper 20s and explaining the near-even market split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (38.5%) buckets. Recent observations, including a 26°C minimum on August 6, show no incoming typhoon outflows or northerly surges that would drive sharper drops, while seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal warmth overall. Any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution could still separate the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,830End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory guidance and short-range model consensus point to an overnight low near 28–29°C for August 10, with daytime ranges of 28–32°C or 29–36°C under mostly cloudy skies and limited shower activity. Persistent high humidity and weak west-to-northwest winds are reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring temperatures in the upper 20s and explaining the near-even market split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (38.5%) buckets. Recent observations, including a 26°C minimum on August 6, show no incoming typhoon outflows or northerly surges that would drive sharper drops, while seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal warmth overall. Any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution could still separate the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,830End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory guidance and short-range model consensus point to an overnight low near 28–29°C for August 10, with daytime ranges of 28–32°C or 29–36°C under mostly cloudy skies and limited shower activity. Persistent high humidity and weak west-to-northwest winds are reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, anchoring temperatures in the upper 20s and explaining the near-even market split between the 29°C (39.5%) and 30°C (38.5%) buckets. Recent observations, including a 26°C minimum on August 6, show no incoming typhoon outflows or northerly surges that would drive sharper drops, while seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal warmth overall. Any last-minute shifts in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution could still separate the two leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions