**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 10 point to a daily maximum in the 35–38°C range, with 37°C emerging as the most probable outcome according to multiple models.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 37°C leads at 44.5%, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C at 23.5% each. Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August daytime highs averaging 33–35°C, but short-term guidance from sources such as the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather shows a stable ridge supporting clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures around 35–38°C. Recent model runs indicate light northerly winds, limited cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk, which favor the upper end of the seasonal norm without pushing into extreme heat (39°C+ remains low-probability at 6%). Key variables still in play include any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern or local urban heat-island effects, which could nudge the official China Meteorological Administration reading one degree either way. With resolution just two days away, updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and determine whether trader sentiment shifts toward 36°C or 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 10?
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C
24%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 45%
36°C 24%
38°C 24%
39°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
30°C or below
$464 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$115 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,106 Vol.
1%
35°C
$63 Vol.
5%
36°C
$77 Vol.
24%
37°C
$139 Vol.
45%
38°C
$63 Vol.
24%
39°C
$68 Vol.
6%
40°C or higher
$333 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 10 point to a daily maximum in the 35–38°C range, with 37°C emerging as the most probable outcome according to multiple models.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 37°C leads at 44.5%, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C at 23.5% each.
Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August daytime highs averaging 33–35°C, but short-term guidance from sources such as the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather shows a stable ridge supporting clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures around 35–38°C. Recent model runs indicate light northerly winds, limited cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk, which favor the upper end of the seasonal norm without pushing into extreme heat (39°C+ remains low-probability at 6%).
Key variables still in play include any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern or local urban heat-island effects, which could nudge the official China Meteorological Administration reading one degree either way. With resolution just two days away, updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and determine whether trader sentiment shifts toward 36°C or 38°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,079End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 10 point to a daily maximum in the 35–38°C range, with 37°C emerging as the most probable outcome according to multiple models.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 37°C leads at 44.5%, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C at 23.5% each.
Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August daytime highs averaging 33–35°C, but short-term guidance from sources such as the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather shows a stable ridge supporting clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures around 35–38°C. Recent model runs indicate light northerly winds, limited cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk, which favor the upper end of the seasonal norm without pushing into extreme heat (39°C+ remains low-probability at 6%).
Key variables still in play include any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern or local urban heat-island effects, which could nudge the official China Meteorological Administration reading one degree either way. With resolution just two days away, updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and determine whether trader sentiment shifts toward 36°C or 38°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,079End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Guangzhou on August 10 point to a daily maximum in the 35–38°C range, with 37°C emerging as the most probable outcome according to multiple models.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities, where 37°C leads at 44.5%, followed closely by 36°C and 38°C at 23.5% each. Guangzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate typically delivers August daytime highs averaging 33–35°C, but short-term guidance from sources such as the Met Office, BBC Weather, and AccuWeather shows a stable ridge supporting clearer skies and slightly elevated temperatures around 35–38°C. Recent model runs indicate light northerly winds, limited cloud cover, and minimal precipitation risk, which favor the upper end of the seasonal norm without pushing into extreme heat (39°C+ remains low-probability at 6%). Key variables still in play include any last-minute adjustments to the steering pattern or local urban heat-island effects, which could nudge the official China Meteorological Administration reading one degree either way. With resolution just two days away, updated ECMWF and CMA runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and determine whether trader sentiment shifts toward 36°C or 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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