Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 10?
18°C 27%
19°C 18%
20°C 11%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
27%
19°C
18%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
18°C 27%
19°C 18%
20°C 11%
17°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$11 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$34 Vol.
10%
22°C
$34 Vol.
5%
23°C
$34 Vol.
1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
1%
25°C
$22 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$190End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$190End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warming trends and an incoming high-pressure ridge are driving expectations for minimum temperatures in Paris around 18–19°C on August 10, with Météo-France guidance signaling the onset of a heatwave featuring elevated overnight lows. Clear skies and subsidence are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to the recent cooldown period of August 6–7, when mins dipped to 17°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which could shift the low by 1–2°C depending on the exact timing of warm-air advection. Traders are weighting these model consensus signals heavily ahead of the next update cycle, as historical August averages near 15–16°C provide limited precedent under current synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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