Trader consensus on the San Francisco high for August 7 centers on 70–73°F because official forecast guidance and climatological norms point to near-average conditions under the influence of the Pacific high and persistent marine layer. Typical August highs hover near 69–70°F, with sea breezes and coastal fog capping daytime maxima even when inland areas warm; current model runs show little deviation from this baseline, keeping odds of exceeding 74°F low at under 10%. Recent observations through early August confirm stable onshore flow and no strong offshore wind events that could allow interior heat to reach the coast, supporting the heavy weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated National Weather Service and private-model guidance over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any subtle warming trend materializes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 7?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 7?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
$35 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$786 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$37 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$839 Vol.
39%
72-73°F
$29 Vol.
31%
74-75°F
$128 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$145 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$232 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$101 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$406 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the San Francisco high for August 7 centers on 70–73°F because official forecast guidance and climatological norms point to near-average conditions under the influence of the Pacific high and persistent marine layer. Typical August highs hover near 69–70°F, with sea breezes and coastal fog capping daytime maxima even when inland areas warm; current model runs show little deviation from this baseline, keeping odds of exceeding 74°F low at under 10%. Recent observations through early August confirm stable onshore flow and no strong offshore wind events that could allow interior heat to reach the coast, supporting the heavy weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated National Weather Service and private-model guidance over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any subtle warming trend materializes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,747End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the San Francisco high for August 7 centers on 70–73°F because official forecast guidance and climatological norms point to near-average conditions under the influence of the Pacific high and persistent marine layer. Typical August highs hover near 69–70°F, with sea breezes and coastal fog capping daytime maxima even when inland areas warm; current model runs show little deviation from this baseline, keeping odds of exceeding 74°F low at under 10%. Recent observations through early August confirm stable onshore flow and no strong offshore wind events that could allow interior heat to reach the coast, supporting the heavy weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated National Weather Service and private-model guidance over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any subtle warming trend materializes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,747End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the San Francisco high for August 7 centers on 70–73°F because official forecast guidance and climatological norms point to near-average conditions under the influence of the Pacific high and persistent marine layer. Typical August highs hover near 69–70°F, with sea breezes and coastal fog capping daytime maxima even when inland areas warm; current model runs show little deviation from this baseline, keeping odds of exceeding 74°F low at under 10%. Recent observations through early August confirm stable onshore flow and no strong offshore wind events that could allow interior heat to reach the coast, supporting the heavy weighting on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins. Updated National Weather Service and private-model guidance over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether any subtle warming trend materializes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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