Traders assign the highest implied probability (42.5%) to a 34°C peak in Kuala Lumpur on August 6 because long-range models and climatological data show August daytime maxima frequently reaching 32–34.8°C amid the region's typical equatorial heat and humidity. Recent AccuWeather guidance for the month places daily highs in this range, while short-term forecasts hover near 32°C; however, reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences can push readings higher. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, yet ongoing global temperature trends and the strengthening El Niño signal support occasional excursions to 34°C or above. Lower outcomes like 33°C (30.5%) remain competitive given frequent afternoon showers that moderate extremes, with new model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 6?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 6?
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 5.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 5.2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$111 Vol.
1%
31°C
$216 Vol.
2%
32°C
$4,079 Vol.
5%
33°C
$1,071 Vol.
31%
34°C
$538 Vol.
43%
35°C
$1,131 Vol.
15%
36°C
$270 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$334 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (42.5%) to a 34°C peak in Kuala Lumpur on August 6 because long-range models and climatological data show August daytime maxima frequently reaching 32–34.8°C amid the region's typical equatorial heat and humidity. Recent AccuWeather guidance for the month places daily highs in this range, while short-term forecasts hover near 32°C; however, reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences can push readings higher. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, yet ongoing global temperature trends and the strengthening El Niño signal support occasional excursions to 34°C or above. Lower outcomes like 33°C (30.5%) remain competitive given frequent afternoon showers that moderate extremes, with new model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$8,500End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (42.5%) to a 34°C peak in Kuala Lumpur on August 6 because long-range models and climatological data show August daytime maxima frequently reaching 32–34.8°C amid the region's typical equatorial heat and humidity. Recent AccuWeather guidance for the month places daily highs in this range, while short-term forecasts hover near 32°C; however, reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences can push readings higher. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, yet ongoing global temperature trends and the strengthening El Niño signal support occasional excursions to 34°C or above. Lower outcomes like 33°C (30.5%) remain competitive given frequent afternoon showers that moderate extremes, with new model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,500End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (42.5%) to a 34°C peak in Kuala Lumpur on August 6 because long-range models and climatological data show August daytime maxima frequently reaching 32–34.8°C amid the region's typical equatorial heat and humidity. Recent AccuWeather guidance for the month places daily highs in this range, while short-term forecasts hover near 32°C; however, reduced cloud cover or weaker monsoon influences can push readings higher. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide a baseline, yet ongoing global temperature trends and the strengthening El Niño signal support occasional excursions to 34°C or above. Lower outcomes like 33°C (30.5%) remain competitive given frequent afternoon showers that moderate extremes, with new model runs and official Malaysian Meteorological Department updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions