Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 6?
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
39%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$257 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$213 Vol.
1%
23°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$241 Vol.
5%
26°C
$448 Vol.
18%
27°C
$3,653 Vol.
39%
28°C
$311 Vol.
24%
29°C
$515 Vol.
13%
30°C
$702 Vol.
5%
31°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,623End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,623End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 27–29°C in São Paulo on August 6 as the most probable range, driven by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly flow advecting warmer air masses during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This aligns with recent model consensus showing daytime highs several degrees above the August climatological average of 23–25°C, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Trader emphasis on 27°C reflects the tight clustering of ensemble outputs near this threshold, while lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes account for typical forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs from sources like the National Institute of Meteorology and international models will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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