National Weather Service forecast guidance and supporting model consensus currently favor a high near 97°F in Denver on August 6 under sunny skies, light northeast winds, and strong summer insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup underpins the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with adjacent 94–95°F and 98–99°F bins capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge and recent regional heat that has elevated expectations above the early-August climatological normal near 88–90°F. Downslope warming adds a modest boost while limited afternoon convection reduces the chance of temperature suppression. Official observations from the designated station will determine resolution, with any final model adjustments remaining key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 6?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 19%
92-93°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
87°F or below
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
2%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 19%
92-93°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
87°F or below
$10 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$73 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$52 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$73 Vol.
24%
96-97°F
$82 Vol.
49%
98-99°F
$147 Vol.
19%
100-101°F
$69 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$206 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$20 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast guidance and supporting model consensus currently favor a high near 97°F in Denver on August 6 under sunny skies, light northeast winds, and strong summer insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup underpins the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with adjacent 94–95°F and 98–99°F bins capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge and recent regional heat that has elevated expectations above the early-August climatological normal near 88–90°F. Downslope warming adds a modest boost while limited afternoon convection reduces the chance of temperature suppression. Official observations from the designated station will determine resolution, with any final model adjustments remaining key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$757End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecast guidance and supporting model consensus currently favor a high near 97°F in Denver on August 6 under sunny skies, light northeast winds, and strong summer insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup underpins the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with adjacent 94–95°F and 98–99°F bins capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge and recent regional heat that has elevated expectations above the early-August climatological normal near 88–90°F. Downslope warming adds a modest boost while limited afternoon convection reduces the chance of temperature suppression. Official observations from the designated station will determine resolution, with any final model adjustments remaining key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$757End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecast guidance and supporting model consensus currently favor a high near 97°F in Denver on August 6 under sunny skies, light northeast winds, and strong summer insolation at the city’s 5,280-foot elevation. This setup underpins the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability, with adjacent 94–95°F and 98–99°F bins capturing most remaining trader sentiment. Above-normal warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge and recent regional heat that has elevated expectations above the early-August climatological normal near 88–90°F. Downslope warming adds a modest boost while limited afternoon convection reduces the chance of temperature suppression. Official observations from the designated station will determine resolution, with any final model adjustments remaining key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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