Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a post-heat-wave cooldown across the Front Range, with Denver expected to top out near 83 °F on August 4 after several days above 95 °F. This shift reflects an incoming upper-level trough and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, consistent with early-August climatology of 88–90 °F highs at Denver International Airport. Trader consensus clusters in the 76–81 °F range because ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertain convective timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger afternoon storms or thicker cloud decks could cap temperatures a few degrees lower, while clearer skies would push readings toward the upper end of the favored bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 33%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$55 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
33%
82-83°F
$37 Vol.
13%
84-85°F
$81 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$6 Vol.
2%
90°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a post-heat-wave cooldown across the Front Range, with Denver expected to top out near 83 °F on August 4 after several days above 95 °F. This shift reflects an incoming upper-level trough and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, consistent with early-August climatology of 88–90 °F highs at Denver International Airport. Trader consensus clusters in the 76–81 °F range because ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertain convective timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger afternoon storms or thicker cloud decks could cap temperatures a few degrees lower, while clearer skies would push readings toward the upper end of the favored bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$235End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a post-heat-wave cooldown across the Front Range, with Denver expected to top out near 83 °F on August 4 after several days above 95 °F. This shift reflects an incoming upper-level trough and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, consistent with early-August climatology of 88–90 °F highs at Denver International Airport. Trader consensus clusters in the 76–81 °F range because ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertain convective timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger afternoon storms or thicker cloud decks could cap temperatures a few degrees lower, while clearer skies would push readings toward the upper end of the favored bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$235End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a post-heat-wave cooldown across the Front Range, with Denver expected to top out near 83 °F on August 4 after several days above 95 °F. This shift reflects an incoming upper-level trough and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating, consistent with early-August climatology of 88–90 °F highs at Denver International Airport. Trader consensus clusters in the 76–81 °F range because ensemble guidance shows modest spread driven by uncertain convective timing and boundary-layer moisture; stronger afternoon storms or thicker cloud decks could cap temperatures a few degrees lower, while clearer skies would push readings toward the upper end of the favored bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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