National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models show Denver highs near 100°F on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave and active Heat Advisory, anchoring trader focus on the 100–103°F outcomes. A strong upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and downslope warming along the Front Range, while clear skies and low humidity maximize solar heating; however, scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress peaks. Historical August averages near 88°F underscore the anomaly, yet model spread and timing of any cloud cover keep the 98–99°F and 104°F+ tails live. Updated NWS guidance and morning soundings on August 2 will likely refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 2?
102-103°F 43%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 17%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
43%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 43%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 17%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
91°F or below
$211 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$177 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$195 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$307 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$311 Vol.
17%
100-101°F
$373 Vol.
41%
102-103°F
$1,019 Vol.
43%
104-105°F
$247 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$278 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$151 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models show Denver highs near 100°F on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave and active Heat Advisory, anchoring trader focus on the 100–103°F outcomes. A strong upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and downslope warming along the Front Range, while clear skies and low humidity maximize solar heating; however, scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress peaks. Historical August averages near 88°F underscore the anomaly, yet model spread and timing of any cloud cover keep the 98–99°F and 104°F+ tails live. Updated NWS guidance and morning soundings on August 2 will likely refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,435End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models show Denver highs near 100°F on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave and active Heat Advisory, anchoring trader focus on the 100–103°F outcomes. A strong upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and downslope warming along the Front Range, while clear skies and low humidity maximize solar heating; however, scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress peaks. Historical August averages near 88°F underscore the anomaly, yet model spread and timing of any cloud cover keep the 98–99°F and 104°F+ tails live. Updated NWS guidance and morning soundings on August 2 will likely refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,435End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models show Denver highs near 100°F on August 2 amid an expanding heat wave and active Heat Advisory, anchoring trader focus on the 100–103°F outcomes. A strong upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and downslope warming along the Front Range, while clear skies and low humidity maximize solar heating; however, scattered afternoon convection could locally suppress peaks. Historical August averages near 88°F underscore the anomaly, yet model spread and timing of any cloud cover keep the 98–99°F and 104°F+ tails live. Updated NWS guidance and morning soundings on August 2 will likely refine resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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