Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place the most probable high temperature for Denver on August 1 in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market’s 92–93 °F bin at 48 % implied probability. Early-August climatology shows a normal daily maximum of 90 °F at Denver International Airport; the modest upward shift reflects a persistent upper-level ridge and downslope warming from the Front Range. Soil moisture remains near seasonal averages after typical July rainfall, limiting evaporative cooling, while light winds and clear skies favor efficient daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with only limited probability mass assigned to 94–95 °F or cooler 90–91 °F outcomes, consistent with the absence of strong frontal passages or significant cloud cover in the latest forecast discussions. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 1?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 1?
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 35%
90-91°F 11%
88-89°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 52%
94-95°F 35%
90-91°F 11%
88-89°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 1, 2026
81°F or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$210 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$209 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$452 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$144 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$236 Vol.
11%
92-93°F
$229 Vol.
52%
94-95°F
$1,388 Vol.
35%
96-97°F
$163 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$199 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place the most probable high temperature for Denver on August 1 in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market’s 92–93 °F bin at 48 % implied probability. Early-August climatology shows a normal daily maximum of 90 °F at Denver International Airport; the modest upward shift reflects a persistent upper-level ridge and downslope warming from the Front Range. Soil moisture remains near seasonal averages after typical July rainfall, limiting evaporative cooling, while light winds and clear skies favor efficient daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with only limited probability mass assigned to 94–95 °F or cooler 90–91 °F outcomes, consistent with the absence of strong frontal passages or significant cloud cover in the latest forecast discussions. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,580End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place the most probable high temperature for Denver on August 1 in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market’s 92–93 °F bin at 48 % implied probability. Early-August climatology shows a normal daily maximum of 90 °F at Denver International Airport; the modest upward shift reflects a persistent upper-level ridge and downslope warming from the Front Range. Soil moisture remains near seasonal averages after typical July rainfall, limiting evaporative cooling, while light winds and clear skies favor efficient daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with only limited probability mass assigned to 94–95 °F or cooler 90–91 °F outcomes, consistent with the absence of strong frontal passages or significant cloud cover in the latest forecast discussions. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,580End Date
Aug 1, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place the most probable high temperature for Denver on August 1 in the low-to-mid 90s, aligning with the market’s 92–93 °F bin at 48 % implied probability. Early-August climatology shows a normal daily maximum of 90 °F at Denver International Airport; the modest upward shift reflects a persistent upper-level ridge and downslope warming from the Front Range. Soil moisture remains near seasonal averages after typical July rainfall, limiting evaporative cooling, while light winds and clear skies favor efficient daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with only limited probability mass assigned to 94–95 °F or cooler 90–91 °F outcomes, consistent with the absence of strong frontal passages or significant cloud cover in the latest forecast discussions. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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