**Trader consensus centers on 76–79°F as the most probable range for Los Angeles’ official high on July 30, reflecting the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that has kept coastal and basin temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s despite the broader Southern California heat wave.** National Weather Service point forecasts for stations such as LAX currently project highs of 77–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with patchy morning fog, while inland areas remain several degrees warmer. This cooling pattern, typical for late July when the marine layer deepens, has outweighed residual heat-dome effects that drove earlier advisories. Model consensus favors limited afternoon heating, with any deviation likely tied to changes in wind direction or layer depth visible in the next NWS updates. Market-implied odds align closely with these near-term observational trends and historical coastal climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on July 30?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 30?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 13%
74-75°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 30, 2026
73°F or below
$85 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$152 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$152 Vol.
34%
78-79°F
$133 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$38 Vol.
13%
82-83°F
$31 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$31 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$202 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$36 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 76–79°F as the most probable range for Los Angeles’ official high on July 30, reflecting the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that has kept coastal and basin temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s despite the broader Southern California heat wave.** National Weather Service point forecasts for stations such as LAX currently project highs of 77–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with patchy morning fog, while inland areas remain several degrees warmer. This cooling pattern, typical for late July when the marine layer deepens, has outweighed residual heat-dome effects that drove earlier advisories. Model consensus favors limited afternoon heating, with any deviation likely tied to changes in wind direction or layer depth visible in the next NWS updates. Market-implied odds align closely with these near-term observational trends and historical coastal climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,168End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 76–79°F as the most probable range for Los Angeles’ official high on July 30, reflecting the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that has kept coastal and basin temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s despite the broader Southern California heat wave.** National Weather Service point forecasts for stations such as LAX currently project highs of 77–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with patchy morning fog, while inland areas remain several degrees warmer. This cooling pattern, typical for late July when the marine layer deepens, has outweighed residual heat-dome effects that drove earlier advisories. Model consensus favors limited afternoon heating, with any deviation likely tied to changes in wind direction or layer depth visible in the next NWS updates. Market-implied odds align closely with these near-term observational trends and historical coastal climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,168End Date
Jul 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 76–79°F as the most probable range for Los Angeles’ official high on July 30, reflecting the strong influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that has kept coastal and basin temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s despite the broader Southern California heat wave.** National Weather Service point forecasts for stations such as LAX currently project highs of 77–81°F under mostly sunny conditions with patchy morning fog, while inland areas remain several degrees warmer. This cooling pattern, typical for late July when the marine layer deepens, has outweighed residual heat-dome effects that drove earlier advisories. Model consensus favors limited afternoon heating, with any deviation likely tied to changes in wind direction or layer depth visible in the next NWS updates. Market-implied odds align closely with these near-term observational trends and historical coastal climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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