Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate a mild early-August pattern over southern Finland, with Helsinki likely seeing a daily maximum near 20–22°C on August 2 under variable cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with climatological norms, where early-August highs typically average 19–21°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Modest westerly flow and limited solar heating under marine influence suppress stronger warming, keeping the probability of 24°C or higher below 15% while elevating odds for 21–23°C. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown little deviation, supporting the current market clustering around these central outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 2?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 2?
22°C 38%
21°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
25%
22°C
38%
23°C
23%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
21°C 25%
23°C 23%
24°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
2%
19°C
$24 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$1 Vol.
11%
25°C
$10 Vol.
3%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate a mild early-August pattern over southern Finland, with Helsinki likely seeing a daily maximum near 20–22°C on August 2 under variable cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with climatological norms, where early-August highs typically average 19–21°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Modest westerly flow and limited solar heating under marine influence suppress stronger warming, keeping the probability of 24°C or higher below 15% while elevating odds for 21–23°C. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown little deviation, supporting the current market clustering around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate a mild early-August pattern over southern Finland, with Helsinki likely seeing a daily maximum near 20–22°C on August 2 under variable cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with climatological norms, where early-August highs typically average 19–21°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Modest westerly flow and limited solar heating under marine influence suppress stronger warming, keeping the probability of 24°C or higher below 15% while elevating odds for 21–23°C. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown little deviation, supporting the current market clustering around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$86End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international ensembles indicate a mild early-August pattern over southern Finland, with Helsinki likely seeing a daily maximum near 20–22°C on August 2 under variable cloud cover and light showers. This aligns with climatological norms, where early-August highs typically average 19–21°C before seasonal cooling accelerates later in the month. Modest westerly flow and limited solar heating under marine influence suppress stronger warming, keeping the probability of 24°C or higher below 15% while elevating odds for 21–23°C. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown little deviation, supporting the current market clustering around these central outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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