Short-range forecasts from models like those used by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project Taipei highs of 34–35°C on July 31 amid peak summer monsoon conditions, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (around 70–80%) likely limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread on timing of convection versus clearer intervals that could push readings to 36°C, while historical July baselines average near 33–34°C. Traders weight the close 35°C and 36°C outcomes most heavily due to this forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on July 31?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 31?
35°C 32%
36°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C
14%
34°C
15%
35°C
32%
36°C
30%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 32%
36°C 30%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$37 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
15%
35°C
$10 Vol.
32%
36°C
$10 Vol.
30%
37°C
$20 Vol.
14%
38°C or higher
$87 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from models like those used by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project Taipei highs of 34–35°C on July 31 amid peak summer monsoon conditions, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (around 70–80%) likely limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread on timing of convection versus clearer intervals that could push readings to 36°C, while historical July baselines average near 33–34°C. Traders weight the close 35°C and 36°C outcomes most heavily due to this forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$219End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from models like those used by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project Taipei highs of 34–35°C on July 31 amid peak summer monsoon conditions, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (around 70–80%) likely limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread on timing of convection versus clearer intervals that could push readings to 36°C, while historical July baselines average near 33–34°C. Traders weight the close 35°C and 36°C outcomes most heavily due to this forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$219End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from models like those used by Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project Taipei highs of 34–35°C on July 31 amid peak summer monsoon conditions, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity (around 70–80%) likely limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread on timing of convection versus clearer intervals that could push readings to 36°C, while historical July baselines average near 33–34°C. Traders weight the close 35°C and 36°C outcomes most heavily due to this forecast uncertainty, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations. Updated guidance expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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