Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July daily highs of 32–36°C, with urban heat island effects and afternoon solar heating pushing peaks higher under clear or partly cloudy skies. As of July 27, short-range models and recent analogs point to a 35–36°C maximum on July 29, driven by weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited precipitation that allow strong insolation while suppressing stronger cooling from clouds or rain. Slight differences between these two outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze influence near the official measurement station. Ensemble spread remains modest but acknowledges that an unexpected shower or thicker cloud deck could cap the reading at 34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 37°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 29?
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
18%
35°C
31%
36°C
35%
37°C
13%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 35%
35°C 31%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 29, 2026
30°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$353 Vol.
3%
33°C
$191 Vol.
6%
34°C
$284 Vol.
18%
35°C
$387 Vol.
31%
36°C
$534 Vol.
35%
37°C
$348 Vol.
13%
38°C
$244 Vol.
3%
39°C
$199 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$207 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July daily highs of 32–36°C, with urban heat island effects and afternoon solar heating pushing peaks higher under clear or partly cloudy skies. As of July 27, short-range models and recent analogs point to a 35–36°C maximum on July 29, driven by weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited precipitation that allow strong insolation while suppressing stronger cooling from clouds or rain. Slight differences between these two outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze influence near the official measurement station. Ensemble spread remains modest but acknowledges that an unexpected shower or thicker cloud deck could cap the reading at 34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 37°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,930End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July daily highs of 32–36°C, with urban heat island effects and afternoon solar heating pushing peaks higher under clear or partly cloudy skies. As of July 27, short-range models and recent analogs point to a 35–36°C maximum on July 29, driven by weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited precipitation that allow strong insolation while suppressing stronger cooling from clouds or rain. Slight differences between these two outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze influence near the official measurement station. Ensemble spread remains modest but acknowledges that an unexpected shower or thicker cloud deck could cap the reading at 34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 37°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,930End Date
Jul 29, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July daily highs of 32–36°C, with urban heat island effects and afternoon solar heating pushing peaks higher under clear or partly cloudy skies. As of July 27, short-range models and recent analogs point to a 35–36°C maximum on July 29, driven by weak steering winds, moderate humidity, and limited precipitation that allow strong insolation while suppressing stronger cooling from clouds or rain. Slight differences between these two outcomes hinge on forecast details such as exact cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day sea-breeze influence near the official measurement station. Ensemble spread remains modest but acknowledges that an unexpected shower or thicker cloud deck could cap the reading at 34°C or allow brief clearing to reach 37°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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