Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Seoul for July 31, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling. Model consensus across global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and dew points supporting this floor, consistent with climatological July lows near 24–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C captures this strong alignment while acknowledging that an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such changes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 31?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,158 Vol.
$16,158 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$16,158 Vol.
$16,158 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
21°C or below
$934 Vol.
No
22°C
$510 Vol.
No
23°C
$967 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,325 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,203 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,481 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$1,377 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,132 Vol.
No
29°C
$381 Vol.
No
30°C
$456 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$393 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Seoul for July 31, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling. Model consensus across global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and dew points supporting this floor, consistent with climatological July lows near 24–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C captures this strong alignment while acknowledging that an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such changes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,158End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Seoul for July 31, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling. Model consensus across global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and dew points supporting this floor, consistent with climatological July lows near 24–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C captures this strong alignment while acknowledging that an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such changes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,158End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Seoul for July 31, reflecting persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high with minimal nocturnal radiational cooling. Model consensus across global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and dew points supporting this floor, consistent with climatological July lows near 24–25°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C captures this strong alignment while acknowledging that an unforecasted cold advection or localized measurement variance at official stations could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such changes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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