Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles project a typical subtropical summer pattern for Miami on August 2, with daytime highs most likely reaching 90–93°F amid high humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability on 92–93°F and 34.5% on 90–91°F, as recent late-July observations showed daily maxima near 92–96°F under similar conditions. Sea-breeze development and isolated afternoon thunderstorms could cap peaks below model guidance, while clearer skies or stronger onshore flow would support the lower-probability 94–95°F outcome. Historical August averages near 89°F provide context, but current heat indices and ensemble consensus favor the upper end of the normal range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 2?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 2?
92-93°F 47%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 47%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
83°F or below
$54 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$76 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$24 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$21 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$113 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$174 Vol.
47%
94-95°F
$673 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$32 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$28 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$53 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles project a typical subtropical summer pattern for Miami on August 2, with daytime highs most likely reaching 90–93°F amid high humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability on 92–93°F and 34.5% on 90–91°F, as recent late-July observations showed daily maxima near 92–96°F under similar conditions. Sea-breeze development and isolated afternoon thunderstorms could cap peaks below model guidance, while clearer skies or stronger onshore flow would support the lower-probability 94–95°F outcome. Historical August averages near 89°F provide context, but current heat indices and ensemble consensus favor the upper end of the normal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,302End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles project a typical subtropical summer pattern for Miami on August 2, with daytime highs most likely reaching 90–93°F amid high humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability on 92–93°F and 34.5% on 90–91°F, as recent late-July observations showed daily maxima near 92–96°F under similar conditions. Sea-breeze development and isolated afternoon thunderstorms could cap peaks below model guidance, while clearer skies or stronger onshore flow would support the lower-probability 94–95°F outcome. Historical August averages near 89°F provide context, but current heat indices and ensemble consensus favor the upper end of the normal range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,302End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private ensembles project a typical subtropical summer pattern for Miami on August 2, with daytime highs most likely reaching 90–93°F amid high humidity and light southerly flow. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability on 92–93°F and 34.5% on 90–91°F, as recent late-July observations showed daily maxima near 92–96°F under similar conditions. Sea-breeze development and isolated afternoon thunderstorms could cap peaks below model guidance, while clearer skies or stronger onshore flow would support the lower-probability 94–95°F outcome. Historical August averages near 89°F provide context, but current heat indices and ensemble consensus favor the upper end of the normal range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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