Miami’s subtropical climate features persistently high humidity and frequent cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, anchoring overnight lows near the 78°F August climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations point to light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 6, favoring minimum temperatures in the 78–81°F range, while any increase in convective activity or thicker marine-layer moisture could allow readings to dip into the mid- to upper 70s. Traders assign comparable weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins because small variations in timing of sea-breeze convergence or evening convection remain the dominant sources of forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 6?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Miami’s subtropical climate features persistently high humidity and frequent cloud cover or scattered thunderstorms that suppress nocturnal radiational cooling, anchoring overnight lows near the 78°F August climatological average. Model consensus and recent observations point to light southeast winds and partly cloudy skies overnight into August 6, favoring minimum temperatures in the 78–81°F range, while any increase in convective activity or thicker marine-layer moisture could allow readings to dip into the mid- to upper 70s. Traders assign comparable weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins because small variations in timing of sea-breeze convergence or evening convection remain the dominant sources of forecast uncertainty at this lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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