**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 5 overnight low centers on the 78–81 °F range (combined ~63 % implied probability), reflecting the narrow spread in official forecasts and climatological norms.** Persistent high humidity, abundant tropical moisture, and frequent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier continental climates. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus currently point to a low near 80 °F, consistent with the recent run of 79–81 °F observations and the August climatological average of ~78 °F at Miami International Airport. Weak steering flow and possible scattered showers add minor variability but are not expected to produce significant cooling. The close contest between the 80–81 °F and 78–79 °F bins captures remaining uncertainty in the final model guidance and the precise timing of any cloud breaks or sea-breeze effects before dawn on the 5th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 5?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 5, 2026
67°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$10 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$60 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$12 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$9 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$37 Vol.
34%
82-83°F
$65 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$40 Vol.
4%
86°F or higher
$564 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 5 overnight low centers on the 78–81 °F range (combined ~63 % implied probability), reflecting the narrow spread in official forecasts and climatological norms.**
Persistent high humidity, abundant tropical moisture, and frequent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier continental climates. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus currently point to a low near 80 °F, consistent with the recent run of 79–81 °F observations and the August climatological average of ~78 °F at Miami International Airport. Weak steering flow and possible scattered showers add minor variability but are not expected to produce significant cooling. The close contest between the 80–81 °F and 78–79 °F bins captures remaining uncertainty in the final model guidance and the precise timing of any cloud breaks or sea-breeze effects before dawn on the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$832End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 5 overnight low centers on the 78–81 °F range (combined ~63 % implied probability), reflecting the narrow spread in official forecasts and climatological norms.**
Persistent high humidity, abundant tropical moisture, and frequent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier continental climates. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus currently point to a low near 80 °F, consistent with the recent run of 79–81 °F observations and the August climatological average of ~78 °F at Miami International Airport. Weak steering flow and possible scattered showers add minor variability but are not expected to produce significant cooling. The close contest between the 80–81 °F and 78–79 °F bins captures remaining uncertainty in the final model guidance and the precise timing of any cloud breaks or sea-breeze effects before dawn on the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$832End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami’s August 5 overnight low centers on the 78–81 °F range (combined ~63 % implied probability), reflecting the narrow spread in official forecasts and climatological norms.** Persistent high humidity, abundant tropical moisture, and frequent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier continental climates. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus currently point to a low near 80 °F, consistent with the recent run of 79–81 °F observations and the August climatological average of ~78 °F at Miami International Airport. Weak steering flow and possible scattered showers add minor variability but are not expected to produce significant cooling. The close contest between the 80–81 °F and 78–79 °F bins captures remaining uncertainty in the final model guidance and the precise timing of any cloud breaks or sea-breeze effects before dawn on the 5th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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