Recent official forecasts for Wuhan project daily highs of 33–36°C on August 4 amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 70% and isolated thunderstorms expected to moderate peak readings. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com places the most likely maximum near 34–35°C, while variability in cloud cover, convective activity, and local urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley create the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 34–35°C highs provide baseline context, but short-range model updates and any shifts in steering patterns could still adjust the final observed maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 4?
38°C 35%
37°C 33%
36°C 24%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
10%
36°C
24%
37°C
33%
38°C
35%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
38°C 35%
37°C 33%
36°C 24%
35°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 4, 2026
32°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$20 Vol.
2%
34°C
$5 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
10%
36°C
$49 Vol.
24%
37°C
$44 Vol.
33%
38°C
$24 Vol.
35%
39°C
$13 Vol.
6%
40°C
$22 Vol.
3%
41°C
$52 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Wuhan project daily highs of 33–36°C on August 4 amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 70% and isolated thunderstorms expected to moderate peak readings. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com places the most likely maximum near 34–35°C, while variability in cloud cover, convective activity, and local urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley create the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 34–35°C highs provide baseline context, but short-range model updates and any shifts in steering patterns could still adjust the final observed maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$282End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Wuhan project daily highs of 33–36°C on August 4 amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 70% and isolated thunderstorms expected to moderate peak readings. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com places the most likely maximum near 34–35°C, while variability in cloud cover, convective activity, and local urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley create the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 34–35°C highs provide baseline context, but short-range model updates and any shifts in steering patterns could still adjust the final observed maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$282End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Wuhan project daily highs of 33–36°C on August 4 amid persistent subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 70% and isolated thunderstorms expected to moderate peak readings. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com places the most likely maximum near 34–35°C, while variability in cloud cover, convective activity, and local urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley create the narrow spread reflected in trader probabilities favoring 36–38°C outcomes. Historical August averages of 34–35°C highs provide baseline context, but short-range model updates and any shifts in steering patterns could still adjust the final observed maximum recorded by local meteorological stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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