Recent short-range weather model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to light rain and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 12, producing a tight consensus around 29–31 °C. Coastal sea-breeze advection and higher humidity suppress daytime heating compared with inland stations, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation timing could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects genuine ensemble spread rather than a single outlier solution, with updates expected from the next model cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
35%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 34%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$38 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
3%
28°C
$347 Vol.
4%
29°C
$73 Vol.
13%
30°C
$1,360 Vol.
35%
31°C
$253 Vol.
34%
32°C
$183 Vol.
15%
33°C
$138 Vol.
4%
34°C
$141 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range weather model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to light rain and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 12, producing a tight consensus around 29–31 °C. Coastal sea-breeze advection and higher humidity suppress daytime heating compared with inland stations, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation timing could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects genuine ensemble spread rather than a single outlier solution, with updates expected from the next model cycles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$3,031End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range weather model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to light rain and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 12, producing a tight consensus around 29–31 °C. Coastal sea-breeze advection and higher humidity suppress daytime heating compared with inland stations, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation timing could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects genuine ensemble spread rather than a single outlier solution, with updates expected from the next model cycles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,031End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range weather model runs from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to light rain and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 12, producing a tight consensus around 29–31 °C. Coastal sea-breeze advection and higher humidity suppress daytime heating compared with inland stations, while any breaks in cloud cover or delayed precipitation timing could allow brief warming toward 32 °C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima near 29–30 °C, so the market’s near-even split between 30 °C and 31 °C reflects genuine ensemble spread rather than a single outlier solution, with updates expected from the next model cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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