Current forecasts from meteorological models project a daily high near 37–38°C for Chengdu on August 12, 2026, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and intense daytime solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. This setup favors strong surface warming amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show broad consensus around these values with little revision in the past 48 hours, aligning trader sentiment toward the 37°C outcome while allowing for minor variability from local urban heat effects, exact timing of scattered clouds, or slight steering adjustments. Historical August baselines in Chengdu often peak near 32–35°C, underscoring the elevated conditions supporting the current market-implied distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
37°C 42%
36°C 23%
38°C 22%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C
23%
37°C
42%
38°C
22%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
36°C 23%
38°C 22%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$402 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$106 Vol.
1%
34°C
$203 Vol.
4%
35°C
$407 Vol.
5%
36°C
$516 Vol.
23%
37°C
$1,071 Vol.
42%
38°C
$772 Vol.
22%
39°C
$368 Vol.
5%
40°C
$538 Vol.
2%
41°C
$146 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models project a daily high near 37–38°C for Chengdu on August 12, 2026, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and intense daytime solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. This setup favors strong surface warming amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show broad consensus around these values with little revision in the past 48 hours, aligning trader sentiment toward the 37°C outcome while allowing for minor variability from local urban heat effects, exact timing of scattered clouds, or slight steering adjustments. Historical August baselines in Chengdu often peak near 32–35°C, underscoring the elevated conditions supporting the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,685End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models project a daily high near 37–38°C for Chengdu on August 12, 2026, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and intense daytime solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. This setup favors strong surface warming amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show broad consensus around these values with little revision in the past 48 hours, aligning trader sentiment toward the 37°C outcome while allowing for minor variability from local urban heat effects, exact timing of scattered clouds, or slight steering adjustments. Historical August baselines in Chengdu often peak near 32–35°C, underscoring the elevated conditions supporting the current market-implied distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,685End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models project a daily high near 37–38°C for Chengdu on August 12, 2026, driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and intense daytime solar heating across the Sichuan Basin. This setup favors strong surface warming amid typical late-summer humidity levels above 70%, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Recent model runs show broad consensus around these values with little revision in the past 48 hours, aligning trader sentiment toward the 37°C outcome while allowing for minor variability from local urban heat effects, exact timing of scattered clouds, or slight steering adjustments. Historical August baselines in Chengdu often peak near 32–35°C, underscoring the elevated conditions supporting the current market-implied distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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