Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Denver’s August 12 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with trader emphasis on the 90–95 °F bins. A warm, dry air mass under building high pressure, combined with downslope flow off the Rockies, promotes adiabatic warming and maximizes daytime insolation. Subtle differences in forecast moisture, timing of any weak upslope component, and afternoon convective development create the observed spread between 90–91 °F, 92–93 °F, and 94–95 °F outcomes. Normal highs near 88 °F provide climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave underscores sensitivity to synoptic setup. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain key decision points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 12?
92-93°F 28%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 12%
96-97°F 9%
87°F or below
4%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
4%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 28%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 12%
96-97°F 9%
87°F or below
4%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
4%
106°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Denver’s August 12 high will likely fall in the low-to-mid 90s, consistent with trader emphasis on the 90–95 °F bins. A warm, dry air mass under building high pressure, combined with downslope flow off the Rockies, promotes adiabatic warming and maximizes daytime insolation. Subtle differences in forecast moisture, timing of any weak upslope component, and afternoon convective development create the observed spread between 90–91 °F, 92–93 °F, and 94–95 °F outcomes. Normal highs near 88 °F provide climatological context, while the recent early-August heat wave underscores sensitivity to synoptic setup. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain key decision points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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