High pressure dominating South Florida, combined with drier air and mostly clear skies, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the expected minimum temperature for Miami on August 12 near 79–81°F. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in this range amid easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with historical mid-August norms around 78°F but slightly elevated by the current ridge. Trader sentiment clusters on 78–81°F bins because small forecast adjustments in dew points or boundary-layer mixing could shift the reading by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window given the stable pattern and lack of tropical moisture or frontal influences. Updated NHC and local model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 12?
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 21%
84-85°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 28%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 21%
84-85°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 12, 2026
71°F or below
$12 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$25 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$14 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
23%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$27 Vol.
21%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
6%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating South Florida, combined with drier air and mostly clear skies, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the expected minimum temperature for Miami on August 12 near 79–81°F. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in this range amid easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with historical mid-August norms around 78°F but slightly elevated by the current ridge. Trader sentiment clusters on 78–81°F bins because small forecast adjustments in dew points or boundary-layer mixing could shift the reading by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window given the stable pattern and lack of tropical moisture or frontal influences. Updated NHC and local model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High pressure dominating South Florida, combined with drier air and mostly clear skies, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the expected minimum temperature for Miami on August 12 near 79–81°F. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in this range amid easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with historical mid-August norms around 78°F but slightly elevated by the current ridge. Trader sentiment clusters on 78–81°F bins because small forecast adjustments in dew points or boundary-layer mixing could shift the reading by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window given the stable pattern and lack of tropical moisture or frontal influences. Updated NHC and local model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$129End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating South Florida, combined with drier air and mostly clear skies, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring the expected minimum temperature for Miami on August 12 near 79–81°F. National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows in this range amid easterly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with historical mid-August norms around 78°F but slightly elevated by the current ridge. Trader sentiment clusters on 78–81°F bins because small forecast adjustments in dew points or boundary-layer mixing could shift the reading by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window given the stable pattern and lack of tropical moisture or frontal influences. Updated NHC and local model runs tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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