Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80–82°F on August 10, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with only slight thunderstorm chances. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep minima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader positioning clusters around the 80–83°F bins because model consensus shows modest variability from localized showers or wind shifts that could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°F, while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability without an unexpected frontal passage or stronger convection. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 10?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
71°F or below
$27 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$33 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$28 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$244 Vol.
8%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$20 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$41 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$28 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$56 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
4%
90°F or higher
$148 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80–82°F on August 10, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with only slight thunderstorm chances. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep minima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader positioning clusters around the 80–83°F bins because model consensus shows modest variability from localized showers or wind shifts that could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°F, while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability without an unexpected frontal passage or stronger convection. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$652End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80–82°F on August 10, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with only slight thunderstorm chances. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep minima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader positioning clusters around the 80–83°F bins because model consensus shows modest variability from localized showers or wind shifts that could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°F, while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability without an unexpected frontal passage or stronger convection. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$652End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate an overnight low near 80–82°F on August 10, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies with only slight thunderstorm chances. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology where urban heat retention and marine influence keep minima in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader positioning clusters around the 80–83°F bins because model consensus shows modest variability from localized showers or wind shifts that could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°F, while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability without an unexpected frontal passage or stronger convection. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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