Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models positions a 23–24°C overnight minimum as the consensus outcome for Tokyo on August 11, reflecting persistent Pacific High pressure that sustains above-normal warmth and limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy, humid conditions. Historical August lows average near 24°C at central stations, with recent daily projections showing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or typhoon influences. Traders weight these model runs heavily given the short lead time, while noting that slight shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the reading toward 22°C or 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?
23°C 55%
24°C 25%
22°C 16%
19°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
16%
23°C
55%
24°C
25%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 55%
24°C 25%
22°C 16%
19°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$21 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$158 Vol.
5%
20°C
$65 Vol.
5%
21°C
$37 Vol.
5%
22°C
$69 Vol.
16%
23°C
$217 Vol.
55%
24°C
$244 Vol.
25%
25°C
$57 Vol.
5%
26°C
$533 Vol.
1%
27°C
$23 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$26 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models positions a 23–24°C overnight minimum as the consensus outcome for Tokyo on August 11, reflecting persistent Pacific High pressure that sustains above-normal warmth and limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy, humid conditions. Historical August lows average near 24°C at central stations, with recent daily projections showing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or typhoon influences. Traders weight these model runs heavily given the short lead time, while noting that slight shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the reading toward 22°C or 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,449End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models positions a 23–24°C overnight minimum as the consensus outcome for Tokyo on August 11, reflecting persistent Pacific High pressure that sustains above-normal warmth and limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy, humid conditions. Historical August lows average near 24°C at central stations, with recent daily projections showing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or typhoon influences. Traders weight these model runs heavily given the short lead time, while noting that slight shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the reading toward 22°C or 25°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,449End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models positions a 23–24°C overnight minimum as the consensus outcome for Tokyo on August 11, reflecting persistent Pacific High pressure that sustains above-normal warmth and limits radiative cooling under mostly cloudy, humid conditions. Historical August lows average near 24°C at central stations, with recent daily projections showing similar values amid stable steering patterns and no imminent frontal passages or typhoon influences. Traders weight these model runs heavily given the short lead time, while noting that slight shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the reading toward 22°C or 25°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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