Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on September 26 indicates a partly sunny to mostly cloudy day with highs in the mid- to upper-90s, driven by southerly flow and above-normal temperatures for late September. Official guidance lists values from 94–98°F depending on the exact run and location within the metro, with limited precipitation risk and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming. This range aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 90–93°F while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from updated model data or cloud trends. Historical averages near 86.5°F underscore the warm anomaly, though short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps the precise peak uncertain until closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 26?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 26?
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
85°F or below 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
85°F or below
22%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
7%
104°F or higher
5%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 26%
85°F or below 22%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
85°F or below
$464 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
26%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$3 Vol.
27%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
21%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
10%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$7 Vol.
9%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
7%
104°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on September 26 indicates a partly sunny to mostly cloudy day with highs in the mid- to upper-90s, driven by southerly flow and above-normal temperatures for late September. Official guidance lists values from 94–98°F depending on the exact run and location within the metro, with limited precipitation risk and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming. This range aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 90–93°F while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from updated model data or cloud trends. Historical averages near 86.5°F underscore the warm anomaly, though short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps the precise peak uncertain until closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$451End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on September 26 indicates a partly sunny to mostly cloudy day with highs in the mid- to upper-90s, driven by southerly flow and above-normal temperatures for late September. Official guidance lists values from 94–98°F depending on the exact run and location within the metro, with limited precipitation risk and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming. This range aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 90–93°F while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from updated model data or cloud trends. Historical averages near 86.5°F underscore the warm anomaly, though short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps the precise peak uncertain until closer to the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$451End Date
Sep 26, 2026Market Opened
Sep 24, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Dallas on September 26 indicates a partly sunny to mostly cloudy day with highs in the mid- to upper-90s, driven by southerly flow and above-normal temperatures for late September. Official guidance lists values from 94–98°F depending on the exact run and location within the metro, with limited precipitation risk and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming. This range aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around 90–93°F while leaving room for slight upward or downward revisions from updated model data or cloud trends. Historical averages near 86.5°F underscore the warm anomaly, though short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and insolation keeps the precise peak uncertain until closer to the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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