Current NWS and GFS-based forecasts for Atlanta on September 26 point to overnight lows in the mid-50s (56–59°F range), driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiational cooling under high pressure—several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.5°F. This setup favors the narrower 54–59°F bands in trader positioning, yet the near-even split between the 49°F-or-below (50%) and 68°F-or-higher (49%) outcomes highlights model sensitivity to small changes in wind speed, cloud cover, or frontal timing that could alter minimum readings at the official Hartsfield-Jackson station. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread between these scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on September 26?
68°F or higher 98%
56-57°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
50-51°F 38%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
38%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68°F or higher
98%
68°F or higher 98%
56-57°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
50-51°F 38%
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
38%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
38%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
38%
68°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current NWS and GFS-based forecasts for Atlanta on September 26 point to overnight lows in the mid-50s (56–59°F range), driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and radiational cooling under high pressure—several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 62.5°F. This setup favors the narrower 54–59°F bands in trader positioning, yet the near-even split between the 49°F-or-below (50%) and 68°F-or-higher (49%) outcomes highlights model sensitivity to small changes in wind speed, cloud cover, or frontal timing that could alter minimum readings at the official Hartsfield-Jackson station. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the spread between these scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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